Does Putin have cancer and parkinson's? Does Russia have the military strength to keep Belarus in the fold and keep control over Georgia, Chechnya, etc, and ke

Does Putin have cancer and parkinson's? Does Russia have the military strength to keep Belarus in the fold and keep control over Georgia, Chechnya, etc, and keep Kazakhstan, Armenia, Azerbaijan under their influence? And Ukraine now has a national identity, patriotism, and a very modern army, and deep roots of cooperation and trust with the west. The US has always wanted a major influence satellite by Russia (besides Turkey), and holy crap do they have one with Ukraine. Ukraine will be the beneficiary of military and foreign aid for decades now. If this was 100 years ago (as in no nuclear weapons), Ukraine would be a direct threat to Moscow. You chew up the best regular forces your enemy (whose capital Moscow is, what, a couple hundred miles away?), and you make them dip into reservists, while you build out a superior, better equipped, better trained, better motivated army, you know what happens historically? Without nuclear weapons, I wouldn't be predicting Ukrainian victory in terms of repulsing the current invasions. I wouldn't be predicting they retake Crimea. I would be predicting Ukraine would take Belarus, Moscow, complete control of the Black Sea, and all of Moscow's imperial, uh, Federation Members would break away. And likely all of Russia would become a vassal state of Ukraine.