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I didn't say "best driver" I said better than a human - even an average human. I'll copy/paste something I wrote before: The computer would have to be 99.9999
by ars 4y ago
I didn't say "best driver" I said better than a human - even an average human.
I'll copy/paste something I wrote before:
The computer would have to be 99.99999% reliable to simply match humans.
The accident rate is around 74 per 100 million miles (and fatalities is 1.13).
It's unclear exactly how to turn that into a percentage, but no matter how you do it it's quite high.
Say an accident takes 5 minutes, and people drive 30 miles/hour. Then that works out to 99.999% for humans. If you use the numbers for fatalities then it's 99.99999%.
I.e. 99.99999% of the time, as whole across all [US] humans, people drive in a way that does not cause a fatality.
Do you know any computers that can simply run with 5 9's of reliability? Never mind actually do something complicated?