3 ms·
And we've come a really long way since then! Regarding cancer for example, 5-year-survival rates in the US have risen from 49% to 69% overall between 1977 and 2
by bakuninsbart 4y ago
And we've come a really long way since then! Regarding cancer for example, 5-year-survival rates in the US have risen from 49% to 69% overall between 1977 and 2013. [0] And we are basically still in the very infancy of data-driven medical development and ai-assisted medicine. We've never output this much science and innovation before, and science output is still accelerating. Depending on a number of potential key innovations, fe. AI or fusion, there might be another explosion in productivity comparable to the industrial revolution or the advent of the information age.
I'm actually not that optimistic about the future, what I'm trying to express is that it is very hard to estimate future progress. We've a number of unprecedented bursts in innovation and productivity in the past, and we might be very close to the next one.
[0] https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/five-year-cancer-survival-in-usa https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/five-year-cancer-survival...