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> I'm saying, an AI significantly better than what humans can do today, is just as much a fantasy as anti-gravity technology. I think this is a key thing where

> I'm saying, an AI significantly better than what humans can do today, is just as much a fantasy as anti-gravity technology. I think this is a key thing where we have differing opinions. I believe an AI taught to drive safely will be significantly better than humans at it. It's not a general purpose AI, just one that is taught to be better at driving. An AI doesn't get distracted as easily. They don't look to the sides for 2 seconds while driving 125 mph on the freeway. They don't check their emails while on a busy city road. They don't need 1-2 seconds to react to a baby stroller emerging from a line of parked cars. My mind has slowly accepting the idea that "specific purpose AI" is already here. Working with an "AI-infused" coding assistant (Github Copilot), it took me a few weeks to get used to. But now I feel it can complete some of my coding assignments at a junior coder level (good effort, but I still need to check the work, sometimes it's non-sense, but many times it's pretty good). I can already off-load some of my routine work to this assistant.

cutemonster 4y ago
> an AI taught to drive safely will be significantly better than humans at it. That would depend on which human you have in mind. Some are 100 x more dangerous than others. (See the link below.) Or 100 x safer depending on what you consider normal You don't happen to know about any statistics about fatalities per 1 billion vehicle-km for (partly) self driving cars? To compare with https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_traffic-related_death_rate https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_traffic... Edit: i found: > Overall, autonomous vehicles (AVs) were involved in more crashes: 9.1 crashes per million miles traveled, compared to 4.1 for conventional cars. However, compared to injuries experienced in traditional vehicle collisions, the ones involving injury were minor. https://1800injured.care/self-driving-car-accident-statistics/ https://1800injured.care/self-driving-car-accident-statistic... If that's reliable info, then they'll eventually get better than an average human in the US (or are already). And in some countries, they could be an amazing improvement -- see the insane amount of fatalities, in some countries (Wikipedia link above).

cutemonster 4y ago

> an AI taught to drive safely will be significantly better than humans at it. That would depend on which human you have in mind. Some are 100 x more dangerous than others. (See the link below.) Or 100 x safer depending on what you consider normal You don't happen to know about any statistics about fatalities per 1 billion vehicle-km for (partly) self driving cars? To compare with https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_traffic-related_death_rate https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_traffic... Edit: i found: > Overall, autonomous vehicles (AVs) were involved in more crashes: 9.1 crashes per million miles traveled, compared to 4.1 for conventional cars. However, compared to injuries experienced in traditional vehicle collisions, the ones involving injury were minor. https://1800injured.care/self-driving-car-accident-statistics/ https://1800injured.care/self-driving-car-accident-statistic... If that's reliable info, then they'll eventually get better than an average human in the US (or are already). And in some countries, they could be an amazing improvement -- see the insane amount of fatalities, in some countries (Wikipedia link above).