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I doubt the parent has access to American war plans, but it's reasonable to guess that the US would prefer for China not to have intact TSMC plants because it p
by arghnoname 4y ago
I doubt the parent has access to American war plans, but it's reasonable to guess that the US would prefer for China not to have intact TSMC plants because it provides enormous leverage. It's the same as blowing up Nordstream II. This is standard war stuff, and if the US is at war with China, heavy sanctions, etc, we wouldn't be able to buy the chips anyway. Why not drop a cruise missile on it?
Personally I hope such a thing doesn't happen. If I had to guess, Taiwan will eventually come under mainland China's control, but I hope this is done very slowly and in a bloodless way following a referendum by the Taiwanese themselves (e.g., only after certain guarantees of autonomy are made and the Taiwanese opt for the 'easy route'). I doubt mainland China will accept this thorn in their side indefinitely.
- riversflow 4y ago> e.g., only after certain guarantees of autonomy are made and the Taiwanese opt for the 'easy route' Is that really so plausible after what happened in Hong Kong?
- arghnoname 4y agoIt may end up being a question of choosing to be Hong Kong or choosing to be Ukraine. China doesn't want this to be like the Ukraine conflict either. I don't know if and how guarantees of some autonomy can be made that carry some significant degree of trust, but it's the least bad solution for all parties to make that happen.