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There isn't really a strong theoretical reason. A few I've seen: (1) it seems to be difficult for central banks to implement negative nominal interest rates (
by oli5679 4y ago
There isn't really a strong theoretical reason.
A few I've seen:
(1) it seems to be difficult for central banks to implement negative nominal interest rates (cash can go under the matrress), and so a positive inflation target will allow a government a bit more scope to cut interest rates during a recession without running into a 'zero lower bound'.
(2) 0% nominal pay rises seem to be a focal point in wage negotiations, and so positive inflation will allow nominal wages to fall in a recession.
There are other arguments I have seem, but all seem quite weak. I don't think there is some definitive justification for 2% vs 5% vs. 0% that can be derived from first principals.
Milton Friedman actually pointed out some theoretical benefits of negative inflation [1].
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Friedman_rule https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Friedman_rule
- HDThoreaun 4y agoDeflation causes real interest rates to rise. There is a lower bound for nominal rates because of risk and cost to service loans. No bank will give out loans for less than 2% since they'll end up with less than they started with, so no inflation means minimum real rate of 2% which is higher than real rates have been for decades.