4 ms·

You’re reading that paper wrong. It says that the cumulative risk of death, long Covid, etc increases with the number of infections. Of course it does: the only

• jahnu 4y ago
  I’m not sure what you think I’m saying wrong. Here is the salient quote from the abstract “The evidence shows that reinfection further increases risks of death, hospitalization and sequelae in multiple organ systems in the acute and postacute phase.”
  • shagie 4y ago
    (Using made up numbers here) Lets say that infection #1 puts the risk of outcome A at 40% Infection #2 puts the risk of outcome A at 60% Infection #3 puts the risk of outcome A at 70% Each infection increases the risk of outcome A, but it isn't an increasing rate. --- This would be very different from Infection #1 having a risk of outcome A at 10% Infection #2 having a risk of outcome A at 30% Infection #3 having a risk of outcome A at 70% --- The first case that I described matches Figure 5: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41591-022-02051-3/figures/5 https://www.nature.com/articles/s41591-022-02051-3/figures/5 Note the difference in the rate of increase between the infections. Yes, multiple infections increases the risk. However, each subsequent infection has a lower rate of increase of the chance.
    • amluto 4y ago
      Or, as a more dramatic example, suppose infection #1 gives a 50% of long Covid. Infection #2, in a patient without long Covid, gives a 1% risk of long Covid. Your cumulative risk of long Covid after 2 infections is 50.5%, which is greater than 50%.