It's usually predicted as 25-50 years away because of: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Maes%E2%80%93Garreau_law https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Maes%E2%80%93Garrea

It's usually predicted as 25-50 years away because of: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Maes%E2%80%93Garreau_law https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Maes%E2%80%93Garreau_law A 10 year prediction is because this is the CEO of a company saying it. So the lifespan used in the prediction is that of the company and not the person.