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Unless there is a major disruption, in 50 years we will have hit hard the limits of earth natural resources (in terms of metals/minerals/oil) and the consequenc

Unless there is a major disruption, in 50 years we will have hit hard the limits of earth natural resources (in terms of metals/minerals/oil) and the consequences of climate change so it's very difficult to predict how the world will be. My guess is that once the system reaches some kind of new equilibrium, jobs will be mostly low-tech and very similar to 1 century ago : farmers (with permaculture), bakers, people who repair stuffs, blacksmiths (but with far less volume of production compared to the industrial world we live in today and mostly simple/repairable/low-techs stuffs : hammers, bikes, shovels, plows...).

lpcvoid 4y ago
Sounds pretty good, I hope you're right.
- karteum 4y ago
  Actually no it does not sound very good and I hope I'm wrong : I wish there would be some major discoveries that would still enable us to keep some degree of comfort / food safety / health safety (and a little bit of fun with high-tech for us geeks :) and restore our half-destroyed environment while still being 8 billion people on earth, but at the moment I am extremely pessimistic about the social and environmental consequences of oil/metals depletion * climate change, and how that transition (or collapse) will be handled (or not handled) to reach such a new equilibrium (where my guess is that anyway people will have to live with low-tech, whatever this means in terms of comfort/longevity/...). Remember that the sustainable world (horses, sustainable agriculture, sailboats, windmills, medicine with herbs, low techs... that many people somehow idealize today) is precisely the one we left 2 centuries ago with the industrial revolution, and there were understandable reasons for that : fossil fuels are infinitely more concentrated than renewables, and all the industrial development they allowed enabled to secure food and health safety, holidays, etc. But now humans are addicted and dependent on those fossil fuels (in particular to sustain 8 billion people on earth), discovering that the party is over will leave us with an extremely bitter hangover. It's just a pity that humanity stupidly wasted all those resources and destroyed their environment so quickly while a different and less greedy economical/political model would have enabled us to live good lives for centuries...

lpcvoid 4y ago

Sounds pretty good, I hope you're right.

karteum 4y ago
Actually no it does not sound very good and I hope I'm wrong : I wish there would be some major discoveries that would still enable us to keep some degree of comfort / food safety / health safety (and a little bit of fun with high-tech for us geeks :) and restore our half-destroyed environment while still being 8 billion people on earth, but at the moment I am extremely pessimistic about the social and environmental consequences of oil/metals depletion * climate change, and how that transition (or collapse) will be handled (or not handled) to reach such a new equilibrium (where my guess is that anyway people will have to live with low-tech, whatever this means in terms of comfort/longevity/...). Remember that the sustainable world (horses, sustainable agriculture, sailboats, windmills, medicine with herbs, low techs... that many people somehow idealize today) is precisely the one we left 2 centuries ago with the industrial revolution, and there were understandable reasons for that : fossil fuels are infinitely more concentrated than renewables, and all the industrial development they allowed enabled to secure food and health safety, holidays, etc. But now humans are addicted and dependent on those fossil fuels (in particular to sustain 8 billion people on earth), discovering that the party is over will leave us with an extremely bitter hangover. It's just a pity that humanity stupidly wasted all those resources and destroyed their environment so quickly while a different and less greedy economical/political model would have enabled us to live good lives for centuries...