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His vision wasn't too different from a lot of other pundits', and it came a year or two too late.
by bitwize 4y ago
His vision wasn't too different from a lot of other pundits', and it came a year or two too late.
- tialaramex 4y agoRight. People are acting as though 1995 is early, but it's like figuring out there will be another major European war on Christmas Day 1939. No shit, the Nazis have already conquered Poland. The Internet is the Third Network. Figuring this out in 1974/75 counts as clairvoyance since most of the technologies (e.g. TCP exists but IP takes until 1978) don't exist yet and nor does the terminology, although in hindsight things are coming together. Figuring it out in 1985 is still very impressive, by that point there's a significant TCP/IP network but it's unclear whether this North American idea triumphs - if you had confidence you could have made some smart investments and made yourself a lot of money. Figuring it out in 1995 is barely even noteworthy. "Eternal September" the point when there are constantly so many new people that it's always like the first weeks of a new year of university students on the Internet, began in 1993.