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"the rate of progress makes me believe now that, in 2 or 3 years, with a new hardware update, Tesla FSD will be very successful." Isn't that exactly what peopl
by dabeeeenster 4y ago
"the rate of progress makes me believe now that, in 2 or 3 years, with a new hardware update, Tesla FSD will be very successful."
Isn't that exactly what people were saying 2 or 3 years ago?!
- redox99 4y agoThere's a lot of people in the world, I'm sure some said that. I would recommend drawing your own conclusions based on it's current state, rather than focusing too much on what people say.
- Isinlor 4y agoYou can check what I was saying a 2 year and 1.5 years ago: I want from 50% chance after Sep 2024 to 50% chance after Aug 2027. Rate of improvement IMO seems to be around 2x better every 6 months. But there is still a long long way from driving millions of miles without disengagement to meet their internal benchmark. https://www.metaculus.com/questions/11608/self-driving-taxis-available-to-metaculites/#comment-48148 https://www.metaculus.com/questions/11608/self-driving-taxis...