3 ms·
Current vax capability is a solution to PRC dealing with covid with 1-2 millions of deaths, maybe not as high as 3-5M estimated excess deaths in India but withi
by dirtyid 4y ago
Current vax capability is a solution to PRC dealing with covid with 1-2 millions of deaths, maybe not as high as 3-5M estimated excess deaths in India but within that ball park. Issue remains PRC's health care capacity isn't sufficient to address wave severe vaxed cases on ICU, especially with unchecked spread in immune naive gen pop.
Politically, millions is still difficult proposition vs essentially none under onerous covid zero, which (IMO) PRC leadership was corned into sustaining by merely demonstrating that state possess the capacity to maintain. Until it can't due to resources or desire, which is where we are now.
The broader issue is most of world was constrained to the sole "solution" of living with covid because vax could prevent severe cases but not eliminate spread, whereas CCP has the difficulty of deciding from multiple solutions along the continuum of how fast to live with covid vs zero covid, and it looks like they're currently just "feeling the stones" for best approach. Reality the flexbility of having different solutions other than depending on vax = some solutions will be more wrong than others.