The history of technology over hundreds of years is a history of convergence to centralization that can only be disrupted by new technologies that will also con

The history of technology over hundreds of years is a history of convergence to centralization that can only be disrupted by new technologies that will also converge to centralization. You're probably right that the current incumbents will eventually be replaced (not by 2030 though, that's only in a little more than seven years!), but they will need to be replaced by something that is at least 10x better AND has an extremely low barrier to entry. Decentralized solutions (as we currently understand them) don't offer either of those, and it's unlikely that they ever will.