> The funny thing about Nate Silver is that the one thing he is famous for is using good, solid statistical analysis to get better results than most pollsters/p

> The funny thing about Nate Silver is that the one thing he is famous for is using good, solid statistical analysis to get better results than most pollsters/predictors's gut opinions. Yes, in that it's the public image that he crafted for himself, and a lot of gullible people believe(d). It wasn't ever really true though. I love this https://i.imgur.com/6Z9QQj3.jpeg https://i.imgur.com/6Z9QQj3.jpeg despite it being a bit trollish, really dispels the idea that Nate had his finger on the pulse or that his 20% chance of Trump winning actually means he was right all along "and if you think otherwise then you're a math-denier". What it shows is the pattern of a pretty typical political hack who, far from an impartial reporting of fact, is actually trying to make news and influence opinion to curry favor with segments of the ruling class. It wouldn't take Einstein to work out he was spouting total nonsense pretty quickly, but a lot of people read something they like, and hear the words "data", "logic", "science", and take that cue to switch their brains off. What Nate Silver did -- what they all do -- is use fact and data and statistics to build their careers as influencers, if and where that intersects with telling the truth is only as a means to that end.