4 ms·
The hot-hand fallacy is the tendency to believe that someone who has been successful in a task or activity is more likely to be successful again in further atte
by theCrowing 4y ago
The hot-hand fallacy is the tendency to believe that someone who has been successful in a task or activity is more likely to be successful again in further attempts. The hot-hand fallacy derives from the saying that athletes have “hot hands” when they repeatedly score, causing people to believe that they are on a streak and will continue to have successful outcomes.
- mikkergp 4y agoHis goals with Twitter feel like hubris not confidence but I guess that is the “bullshitter”? The thing from left field is still “succeed at what”. Right now it almost seems like he wants to attract people like mr beast to the platform and turn it into a 24-hour reality tv show. That is an option that I think could be successful, and the author seems to limit his own vision of twitter 2.0 to not include rich media, which Is not the correct way to think about it. The original vision of some kind of paid for public square with mature discourse that 80% of the world subscribes to is feasible. Jerry Springer is a much more believable recipe for success than C-SPAN.