It is astonishing how little information these predictions convey. So GDP will probably grow about 2% again. First -- you can "forecast" that by looking at a

It is astonishing how little information these predictions convey. So GDP will probably grow about 2% again. First -- you can "forecast" that by looking at a fifty-year chart and picking the median. Second -- who would benefit from knowing that information a year early? All of the predictions are like that. There is little variance from an uneducated guess, and no actionable suggestions. Maybe if this was framed as "a survey of the status-quo" rather than "superforecasting" I wouldn't be so negative about it. But there is nothing "super" about this.