I mean it doesn’t have to be genius or complete moron, it’s most likely neither. But if it has to be one of the two extremes and I start with 50/50 odds, what

I mean it doesn’t have to be genius or complete moron, it’s most likely neither. But if it has to be one of the two extremes and I start with 50/50 odds, what would I lean towards with the limited information I have as an outside observer? This is a rhetorical question but I think it gives a hint of how this whole topic has become such a shit show.