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There is this misconception that fusion is far in the future. But these startups are aiming at commercial fusion before 2030. For instance, Helion plans for net
by joak 4y ago
There is this misconception that fusion is far in the future. But these startups are aiming at commercial fusion before 2030. For instance, Helion plans for net electricity by 2024, in two years. Maybe the employees and the investors of these companies are fooling themselves and this will never happen. But they could succeed...
I am just providing pointers so people could have a look and juge by themselves. I was pretty convinced by Helion and ZAP, less by TAE.
Because we are on HN, I can mention that Sam Altman invested $375M of his own money in Helion, so he is indeed a true believer.
- space_fountain 4y agoI think the expectation is that fusion is still a very risky bet. The upside is large (or at least perceived to be large) so a lot of funding has gone into it, but the actual chance of a breakthrough large enough is still small
- taneq 4y agoFusion power was ~50 years away in the 60s, and still ~50 years away in the 90s. If it’s down to ~10 years now, that’s truly remarkable!
- dredmorbius 4y agoMy hypothesis is that the years are getting longer.