4 ms·
I will only respond to 1. > "No one has any idea how to create X now" does not lead to "Imminent creation of X is very unlikely to be true". Right? Wrong. Her
by polygamous_bat 4y ago
I will only respond to 1.
> "No one has any idea how to create X now" does not lead to "Imminent creation of X is very unlikely to be true". Right?
Wrong. Here's the logical chain:
1. For someone to do X, they will need to know how to do X. (Unless you think it's all just alchemy, and we're boiling urine to distill gold.)
2. For creation of X to be imminent, someone's knowledge of how to create X will have to be almost complete.
3. Currently, no one knows how to do X.
4. Thus, creation of X is nowhere near imminent.