You weren't wrong, EA is basically the mindset of donating using analysis. As you fear, at the start the movement suffered from overemphasis on causes that can

You weren't wrong, EA is basically the mindset of donating using analysis. As you fear, at the start the movement suffered from overemphasis on causes that can demonstrate impact. But it's not incompatible with risk-taking, if you personally deem the potential payoff as more than enough. Lately the movement is more nuanced, allowing room for harder-to-measure, "softer" causes like moral circle expansion, even if they're riskier, and even if you outsource part of your judgment to people closer to the cause: https://guerrillafoundation.org/additional-thoughts-on-effective-altruism/ https://guerrillafoundation.org/additional-thoughts-on-effec...