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> It isn't the Stratfor origin, or the blazenly pro-American optimism per se that concern me Are you sure about that? Because all you've written is that Zeiha

> It isn't the Stratfor origin, or the blazenly pro-American optimism per se that concern me Are you sure about that? Because all you've written is that Zeihan, who focuses on practical and immediate concerns of demographics, energy and agricultural markets - is obfuscating realities and monopolizing ears. Eh? As opposed to what or whom? Here is a three minute snippet from one of his talks from five years ago: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rkuhWA9GdCo https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rkuhWA9GdCo What brilliant insights are being crowded out? What specifically is he wrong about?

hikingsimulator 4y ago
I somewhat answered your points with my two other answers in the thread, if you want to look them up first. I've also seen the video in the past. I've known Zeihan since 2016-2017(?) when Caspian Report started citing him. Trying not to repeat myself, I will go with an example. Intersperced with what looks like sound analysis, Zeihan often injects his own biases and hopes for a better, American, future. One telling example is his treatment of China -- about to collapse in a decade, and has been for the past seven years for Zeihan. I will wait. Same with some of his figures. He often repeats that Chinese demographic figures are overstated by a hundred millions (most likely girls), says him. It may not be a rabbit out of a hat, but it is unsourced or badly sourced or simply his opinion depending on the day. The excuse here is that the Chinese government is unreliable. Definitely. But it does not warrant such geopolical hand-slamming-the-table assertions. This is why, when it's being broadcast up to the highest echelons of the US government, I am not very happy with Zeihan and people who derive their geopolitical opinions mostly from him.
- recuter 4y ago
blackshaw 4y ago
What about the things Zeihan said five years ago that don't stand out as noteworthy today? His book The Accidental Superpower has an entire chapter arguing that the province of Alberta is likely to secede from Canada and join the US, which hasn't happened yet. Just because some of your predictions come true, that doesn't mean you have a crystal ball.

hikingsimulator 4y ago

I somewhat answered your points with my two other answers in the thread, if you want to look them up first. I've also seen the video in the past. I've known Zeihan since 2016-2017(?) when Caspian Report started citing him. Trying not to repeat myself, I will go with an example. Intersperced with what looks like sound analysis, Zeihan often injects his own biases and hopes for a better, American, future. One telling example is his treatment of China -- about to collapse in a decade, and has been for the past seven years for Zeihan. I will wait. Same with some of his figures. He often repeats that Chinese demographic figures are overstated by a hundred millions (most likely girls), says him. It may not be a rabbit out of a hat, but it is unsourced or badly sourced or simply his opinion depending on the day. The excuse here is that the Chinese government is unreliable. Definitely. But it does not warrant such geopolical hand-slamming-the-table assertions. This is why, when it's being broadcast up to the highest echelons of the US government, I am not very happy with Zeihan and people who derive their geopolitical opinions mostly from him.

recuter 4y ago

blackshaw 4y ago

What about the things Zeihan said five years ago that don't stand out as noteworthy today? His book The Accidental Superpower has an entire chapter arguing that the province of Alberta is likely to secede from Canada and join the US, which hasn't happened yet. Just because some of your predictions come true, that doesn't mean you have a crystal ball.