I've watched quite a bit of Zeihan. He's interesting for sure, but some of his conclusions are really barmy, especially about the motivations of governments. Th

I've watched quite a bit of Zeihan. He's interesting for sure, but some of his conclusions are really barmy, especially about the motivations of governments. The reason he thinks Russia does things is nonsense. Putin might hero worship Peter the Great but that doesn't mean the Russians think that way in general now about defense (and he always talks of them in that homogeneous way, "the Russians"). Obviously he is correct where the data shows a direction, although I've seen videos where he's talking about a graph and the numbers on it clearly don't align with his narrative. Where I believe he really falls down is that changes cause changes and people don't just do nothing and carry on. In particular when talking economic and social collapse, economies, people and governments will drastically alter things to prevent collapse. And there is a huge amount of momentum in our systems.