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>The original climate change predictions were pretty much on the mark even though they weren't complex models. No? It's 2022 and our cities should be sunk in t
by lzooz 4y ago
>The original climate change predictions were pretty much on the mark even though they weren't complex models.
No? It's 2022 and our cities should be sunk in the ocean and we should be boiling or frozen and there should be no drinkable water left and blah blah blah.
- hedora 4y agoHere’s a scan of the earliest projections I know of (1982), from the American Petroleum Institute: https://insideclimatenews.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/12/AQ-9-Task-Force-Meeting-1980.pdf https://insideclimatenews.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/12/AQ-... They predicted 1C in 2005, and 2.5C in 2038. We are right on schedule. They also predict global economic growth to halt in 2025 due to climate change impacts. That’s plausible, given recent years’ industrial and agricultural climate disasters. However, on that metric, we’re probably a bit behind schedule. Five years, maybe?
- refurb 4y agoTaking a thousand projections and cherry picking the ones that were right isnt science.
- mensetmanusman 4y agoreal time p-hacking
- jemmyw 4y agoWhen I mention journalistic sensationalism it was a criticism, not a challenge.