Is there any data that suggests retail options traders should not even attempt to be clairvoyant because "if this, then that" logic to the underlying instrument

Is there any data that suggests retail options traders should not even attempt to be clairvoyant because "if this, then that" logic to the underlying instruments price and its movement is too naive to be successful, or does a lot of the "technical analysis" (support/resistance, moving average crossover, volume/volume weighted average price, etc.) become a self-fulfilling prophecy? there are other members that make up the market + its daily volume other than market makers. i agree, it isn't (or at least shouldn't be seen as) market makers vs retail traders. market makers don't care about direction from what i understand. it's the high frequency trading hedge funds/funds running algorithms against institutional "whale" investors versus... i'm not even sure i can pretend to understand all of the participants that trade shares (or options) daily/weekly/monthly/quarterly. there's a portion of psychology manipulation to it as well, right? "oh my gosh, this is going up but it might be a bull trap" aka... some people believe there are entities/an entity behind the scenes driving the price up to "suck people in", and vice versa (bear trap).