2 ms·
> Their super-low interest rates over the years are coming full circle. Super-low interest rates have very little to do with it. The Fed rate has been low for
by throw0101a 4y ago
> Their super-low interest rates over the years are coming full circle.
Super-low interest rates have very little to do with it. The Fed rate has been low for over a decade and inflation has only appeared recently:
* https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FEDFUNDS https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FEDFUNDS
Similarly neither has QE done much about consumer prices. People predicted the almost end of the financial world when QE started years ago and not much has happened in the intervening years; from 2010:
> We believe the Federal Reserve's large-scale asset purchase plan (so-called "quantitative easing") should be reconsidered and discontinued. We do not believe such a plan is necessary or advisable under current circumstances. The planned asset purchases risk currency debasement and inflation, and we do not think they will achieve the Fed's objective of promoting employment.
* https://economics21.org/html/open-letter-ben-bernanke-287.html https://economics21.org/html/open-letter-ben-bernanke-287.ht...
Neither does money supply: Japan's M2 has been rising for decades and they've had low inflation (and even deflation) in that same period:
* https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=PA7P https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=PA7P
The current situation is partly due to velocity and the cheques that were sent out by the Treasury (not Fed) earlier in 2022. But also due to supply-side stuff life oil (see RU) and food (see RU). An SF Fed report estimates about half of the current US inflation is on the supply side/chain side of things:
* https://www.frbsf.org/economic-research/publications/economic-letter/2022/june/how-much-do-supply-and-demand-drive-inflation/ https://www.frbsf.org/economic-research/publications/economi...