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I think its a hard call. Real estate is inflated. Stocks are too, but seems less so than property, at least in Australia. Traditional flight to safety like go
by Gustomaximus 4y ago
I think its a hard call.
Real estate is inflated. Stocks are too, but seems less so than property, at least in Australia.
Traditional flight to safety like gold has significant gains last few years so are you buying another peak?
Meanwhile you know cash is devaluing 5-10% per year.
For my non-expert opinion I think Australia shares are fairly good relatively currently, but I say that as an Australian. Its reasonably valued compared to some of the markets, stable govt/economy with low govt debt as western nations go (consumer is high though). Shares will probably return dividends around 3-5% per year on a market tracking ETF, which should offset some drops while the market and inflation, and then you are in market for the turn as as the cycle flips and inflation has run I could see some sharp gains as companies revalue to the new cost bases.
Also I think a FSTE tracker wouldn't be so bad. Since Ukraine and general market drops these are off their peak pricing. US Id avoid as I think there's a bunch more to unwind both in the market, politically, plus govt debt (heading for 140% of GDP and showing no signs of slowing) so I would be hesitant market tracking there until things stabilise. That said there will always be amazing companies ongoing in the US if stock picking.
Im so far from an expert, so take all this with a shovel of salt. Keep things diverse. But overall I think a Aus/Eur market type tracker is probably a reasonably safe bet at the moment for a uncertain and unprecedented enviroment, and take the odd punt on companies that you think are getting trashed and fear has over taken. Keep some level of cash as if the markets do tumble you want to be able to go in, or generally have options.
I know nothing. Good luck.
- quonn 4y ago> Real estate is inflated. Stocks are too, but seems less so than property, at least in Australia. But are they? To me many stocks look comparatively flat over 30 years given the fact that they should point upwards just to correct for inflation in the currency they are denominated in and even more upwards when taking into account productivity gains.