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There is no such thing as rational prediction of any sizable length of time for a complex system, so it is trivial to criticize. How long can you accurately pr

There is no such thing as rational prediction of any sizable length of time for a complex system, so it is trivial to criticize. How long can you accurately predict a relatively simple system of weather? Climate only works because our forcing is big and the forces are highly predictable. Social movements, moral ideas... good luck even setting an equation. Every attempt will be so approximate as to be worthless.

nonrandomstring 4y ago
> There is no such thing as rational prediction of any sizable length of time for a complex system, You know that. I know that. Anyone with an IQ in double figures knows that. But they want it don't they. Or rather, they want to believe in it. Because otherwise what else is there to put faith in but men, minds and meetings? We'd have to sit down and talk to each other like savages.