That is a valid point - no one knows what the future holds But we have to take into account that the active traders have been repeatedly making the same claim.

That is a valid point - no one knows what the future holds But we have to take into account that the active traders have been repeatedly making the same claim. How many times is one allowed to make the a similar claim before losing credibility... Recall Warren Buffett' bet vs Hedge Funds https://www.investopedia.com/articles/investing/030916/buffetts-bet-hedge-funds-year-eight-brka-brkb.asp https://www.investopedia.com/articles/investing/030916/buffe... Notably the period included an interval of a stock-market collapse and massive volatility - where smart decisions ought to have mattered more. So the credibility of the above statement that this time will might be different feels severely weakened.