11 ms·
Typical "Hot Hand Fallacy" just because someone had success before, even if he had a lot of success in a row doesn't mean he will have it forever.
by theCrowing 4y ago
Typical "Hot Hand Fallacy" just because someone had success before, even if he had a lot of success in a row doesn't mean he will have it forever.
- borroka 4y agoIt is not a "Hot Hand" problem because the context changes. Hot Hand is when you face the same problem (shooting a 3 in basket), not when one has to choose what to bet on, since the variability of the conditions surrounding the bet are likely to make every bet a unique situation. Like saying that Einstein delivering results that change a whole field of physics every 5 years is a "Hot Hand" problem, is surely misguided.