4 ms·

China can mandate minimum 3 kids per family, otherwise you are locked out of civilization.

by slaw 4y ago

bamboozled 4y ago
I read that if they did this today, it wouldn't make a difference, it's too late to recover from now, mathematical impossibility. The majority of their population is beyond the child bearing age so it's downhill from here no matter what policies they put in place, there's going to be a major population crash for them in the next 30 years. Else...I'm sure Xi would've done it already.
- slaw 4y ago
  there are 180 milion women aged 20-40. On Xi order they can give birth to 180 milion new Chinese citizens in 9 months. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1101677/population-distribution-by-detailed-age-group-in-china/ https://www.statista.com/statistics/1101677/population-distr...
  - snovv_crash 4y ago
    Since we're talking about an amoral baby making law, the age bracket 16-36 is more realistic. Doesn't change much in terms of population, but also doesn't explain how it will be enforced. However this is just the beginning. After that, assuming worst case labour practices, you have another 10-15 years of supporting increasingly expensive unproductive citizens before they can even start to pay back the costs on society they incurred by being born. It's a long slow road...
    - adolph 4y ago
      As usual Neal Stephenson was ahead of the game. The plot to duplicate "A Young Lady's Illustrated Primer" is facilitated by Confucians needing educational materials for vast numbers of girls (maybe clones?) being raised on nursery ships.
      - snovv_crash 4y ago
        They were unwanted daughters who were discarded by a society that wanted sons. (and yes Stephenson is a genius)
  - bamboozled 4y ago
    The babies don't come out ready to work in factories and invade Taiwan.
    - slaw 4y ago
      That fortunately Xi cannot order.
jmoak3 4y ago
So roughly 20 years from now, after taking on a country-wide new baby-boom's worth of problems, they can use the fresh faces to resolve the problems they're facing today. How the one child policy was allowed to happen is a mystery to me - surely someone saw this coming?

China can mandate minimum 3 kids per family, otherwise you are locked out of civilization.

by slaw 4y ago

China can mandate minimum 3 kids per family, otherwise you are locked out of civilization.

I read that if they did this today, it wouldn't make a difference, it's too late to recover from now, mathematical impossibility. The majority of their population is beyond the child bearing age so it's downhill from here no matter what policies they put in place, there's going to be a major population crash for them in the next 30 years. Else...I'm sure Xi would've done it already.

slaw 4y ago
there are 180 milion women aged 20-40. On Xi order they can give birth to 180 milion new Chinese citizens in 9 months. https://www.statista.com/statistics/1101677/population-distribution-by-detailed-age-group-in-china/ https://www.statista.com/statistics/1101677/population-distr...
- snovv_crash 4y ago
  Since we're talking about an amoral baby making law, the age bracket 16-36 is more realistic. Doesn't change much in terms of population, but also doesn't explain how it will be enforced. However this is just the beginning. After that, assuming worst case labour practices, you have another 10-15 years of supporting increasingly expensive unproductive citizens before they can even start to pay back the costs on society they incurred by being born. It's a long slow road...
  - adolph 4y ago
    As usual Neal Stephenson was ahead of the game. The plot to duplicate "A Young Lady's Illustrated Primer" is facilitated by Confucians needing educational materials for vast numbers of girls (maybe clones?) being raised on nursery ships.
    - snovv_crash 4y ago
      They were unwanted daughters who were discarded by a society that wanted sons. (and yes Stephenson is a genius)
- bamboozled 4y ago
  The babies don't come out ready to work in factories and invade Taiwan.
  - slaw 4y ago
    That fortunately Xi cannot order.

jmoak3 4y ago

So roughly 20 years from now, after taking on a country-wide new baby-boom's worth of problems, they can use the fresh faces to resolve the problems they're facing today. How the one child policy was allowed to happen is a mystery to me - surely someone saw this coming?