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Here's my pessimistic prediction for the future of Twitter: - Many people don't care enough to pay $8, and with their content downranked, just mostly stop post
by Nition 4y ago
Here's my pessimistic prediction for the future of Twitter:
- Many people don't care enough to pay $8, and with their content downranked, just mostly stop posting.
- Even some legitimate users who'd be willing to pay for a checkmark are reluctant, since it acts as something like tacit approval for Musk himself, in a time when public opinion is low.
- Spammers on the other hand all have blue checkmarks and are sorted to the top, having bought them from countries where they're dirt cheap[0].
- Remaining users get into the habit of scrolling past blue-checkmark responses altogether, as if they're a series of banner ads before the real content.
- Twitter briefly tries to fix the new spam issue by downranking countries where checkmarks are cheap, generating outraged headlines.
- Twitter briefly tries to fix the issue by making checkmarks $8 worldwide, generating outraged headlines.
- Twitter tries again to fix the issue with some sort of multi-tiered subscription system or something but it doesn't matter because the site is a shell of its former self by now anyway.
- Twitter messes with the UI a bunch of times.
- Twitter sells for $18.3 million to Automattic.
[0] https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1587499283573530625 https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1587499283573530625
- Waterluvian 4y agoI need a Twitter bingo card. These plus many other predictions seem completely plausible.
- version_five 4y agoI hope that whatever they decide, they don't flap in the breeze and update their policies based on every bit of media attention. Doing that is worse than making almost any policy / product bet and actually seeing it through
- blitzar 4y agoTotal and utter nonsense, the Onlyfans empire will outbid Automattic paying just under $20 million. > - Even some legitimate users who'd be willing to pay for a checkmark are reluctant, since it acts as something like tacit approval for Musk himself, in a time when public opinion is low. The virtue signalling will go both ways - some will pay $8 in the sad hope that Elon will notice them. Some will refuse for the reasons you outlined above. Nobody sane will actually give a shit.
- systemicdanna 4y agoThe incoming wave of crypto spammers with blue checkmarks is going to be impressive in size.
- unknownaccount 4y agoalready happening. scams arent being taken down anymore. this "Tesla Live" scam has been running all day. https://twitter.com/joememmel?lang=en https://twitter.com/joememmel?lang=en
- systemicdanna 4y agoThis one looks like a hacked account of a musician called Joe Memmel. I hope at least hijacked accounts will still be taken care of by Twitter.
- unknownaccount 4y agoI bet it’s still up as of this time tomorrow.
- YetAnotherNick 4y ago> Many people don't care enough to pay $8 No one said most would, not even Elon. But twitter has 450 million active users. If 5% of people care, we are talking additional yearly revenue of 2 billion dollar. Obviously 5% number isn't backed by anything and could be one order of magnitude smaller or larger.
- blitzar 4y agoBut what Elon did say is that 95% of the 450 million active users are bots.
- YetAnotherNick 4y agoSource?
- mikkergp 4y ago> countries where checkmarks are cheap This is a great point that I hadn’t thought of. $8 is already not a lot for scammers, and it could be even less.
- Jcowell 4y agoOne factor not talked about enough is the bullying. Twitter is notorious for clowning on certain things deemed lame. One example are twitter users coming together to clown users who have NFT as their profiles. I suspect the same to happen for people who obviously are not famous enough to have pre-bought check marks.