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On the flip side for the second point, it can just as easily go into the reverse. It’s all very well for the mainland government to declare the island to be a r
by Apocryphon 4y ago
On the flip side for the second point, it can just as easily go into the reverse. It’s all very well for the mainland government to declare the island to be a rogue province in revolt, but that just means a war between the two would entail bloodshed between countrymen. That might give at least some Chinese pause, not unlike the contemporary antiwar protests in Russia.
Not to mention given that China has been at peace for decades now, to disrupt their economic growth and prosperous gains in standards of living to go to war would be a hard sell to the average Chinese citizen, regardless of how much control the government might exert over drumming up support for war. One could speculate that they would at least make it seem like a defensive conflict.
- UltraViolence 4y agoYou seem to forget that ordinary Chinese citizens have no say in all this. They've just given their leader dictatorial powers for life. Basically everything that happens in China is dependent on the mental constitution of one single man. And Xi has sworn to unite Taiwan with the mainland at whatever the cost. We have to decide whether it's worth fighting a nuclear war over because the invasion is going to happen between now and 2027.
- Apocryphon 4y agoAny war will require at least some popular mandate no matter how dictatorial the regime, not to mention the consent of the actual fighting forces involved. > And Xi has sworn to unite Taiwan with the mainland at whatever the cost. In that, he is no different from every single Chinese leader since 1949. 2027 is a red herring borne out of inaccurate intel and failed understanding: https://twitter.com/MikeBlack114/status/1571401031539367939 https://twitter.com/MikeBlack114/status/1571401031539367939