the real issue is “what is the probability of human injury or death?” Is it 1% per launch? 0.01% 0.000001% The area of the earth’s surface occupied by humans (

the real issue is “what is the probability of human injury or death?” Is it 1% per launch? 0.01% 0.000001% The area of the earth’s surface occupied by humans (not their stuff, but the people themselves) is around 8000 km^2 (1m^2 per person) out of a total Earth surface area of 510 million km^2. so the probability is around 1.6E-5 or 0.0016% per launch. This obviously doesn’t account for the specific trajectory or population distribution, but gives us a rough order of magnitude. I would prefer they didn’t do it also, and it definitely loses them international good will - but it’s a pretty low (but non-zero) risk. [typo corrected]