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It's not a bad idea, but I don't think they'll get close to 5 million memberships. Maybe 250K corporate memberships? That's a lot too, probably 10-20k to star
by mikkergp 4y ago
It's not a bad idea, but I don't think they'll get close to 5 million memberships. Maybe 250K corporate memberships? That's a lot too, probably 10-20k to start. And I think they're deluding themselves on how hard the transparency piece will be (much easier if they can eliminate the "public square" component) And then the creator team, that is very greenfield and I can't imagine it won't depend on lots of moderator tools and "brand safety". But really if they push hard on ending the public square element of it and create much better personal moderation tools. But I think to get this they'll have a lot of work to do in building tools to get to those numbers.
This article says Twitter blue has only made 6.4 million dollars? https://techcrunch.com/2022/10/31/twitter-blues-troubles-twitters-app-has-only-generated-6-4m-in-consumer-spending-to-date/ https://techcrunch.com/2022/10/31/twitter-blues-troubles-twi...
So that's a million subscribers divided by the number of months it's around. Will Musk's verified really be that popular? Do they have the time financially to build the credibility necessary to make the new twitter blue a success?
- s1k3 4y ago5 million would be like 2% of their user base. You don’t think they can’t get that? I bet they could closer to 10% in the long term. Which would be closer to 30-40 million paid users. There are many paid add ons for Twitter. Imagining bringing that all in house with a native experience and then charging for it. There’s plenty of money to be made.
- mikkergp 4y agoIn the long term anything is possible but I think given their billion dollar per annum interest payments, they’re thinking short term, and I don’t know why this new service would do significantly better than Twitter blue until they can deliver some features.
- ehBut 4y agoThey live in a filter bubble of entitlement, so it’s easy to assume it’s valid everyone will be on board. Surrounded by yes men, nothing is impossible!