The implication is that the statistics are what they are under the condition that women take the precautions that they do. In other words, the 1/X statistic is

The implication is that the statistics are what they are under the condition that women take the precautions that they do. In other words, the 1/X statistic is conditioned on the average person's precautions (like not walking outside in a lightning storm), and by not applying on those precautions, you're using the statistic outside of the distribution that it applies to.