I share your skepticism, however, it would be more dangerous to try to make predictions. Moreover, I think the worrying is a bit too much: AI isn't replacing a

I share your skepticism, however, it would be more dangerous to try to make predictions. Moreover, I think the worrying is a bit too much: AI isn't replacing any jobs really, mostly enabling. For the most part, AI is 'improving things' - just as any other bit of software or R&D. That the AI can do 'a bit better speech to text' aka 85% accuracy instead of the classical 72% is not going to change the world. Almost all AI will make it's way into things incrementally, unnoticed. Things will just get a big smarter, safer, shinier. There will be a small number of 'step functions' but likely not to put anyone out of work. It's better to think of NN's as not even AI, it's a distraction. Imagine if we just called them 'adaptive algorithms' and didn't have the hype. What would we think about it? Without Elon Musk talking about Skynet killing us all? There are maybe some bits of manual labour here and there that will mean maybe a narrow range of factory workers will be out of luck, but that will be temporary, and there will always be unskilled labour beyond the AI, if we need those kinds of jobs.