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Yet. With so many sattelites, somebody is going to get sloppy. We already had instances, were people hacked "dead" sattelites. All thats needed is a crash, not
by qikInNdOutReply 4y ago
Yet. With so many sattelites, somebody is going to get sloppy. We already had instances, were people hacked "dead" sattelites. All thats needed is a crash, not something designed to be damaged. Space is the soft underbelly of the soft underbelly that is civilized society.
- Retric 4y agoSpace is also vast, Kessler syndrome is mostly a threat to a small percentage of orbits. The bottom of LEO blurs the line between space flight and aircraft because nothing can stay there for long without active boosters. At the other end there is a vast mostly empty space above, below, and around geostationary orbit.
- qikInNdOutReply 4y agoA Kessler syndrom is a exponential thing. Shrapnell hitting shrapnell, becoming smaller all the time, some of those shrapnells will recieve sufficient energy to be sling shotted into higher orbits. Also, several parties have threatened a kessler syndrom indirectly, the last being the russians atm: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Anti-satellite_weapon https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Anti-satellite_weapon Space is vast, but orbits cover vast distances regularly, making it a thing of propability and syncing up cycles. Throw a dice often enough and you win this lottery with certainty, because with every hit you get exponential more lottery tickets. So, to sum it up, its not about if unless action is taken, its about when..
- Retric 4y agoThere is a minimum size of shrapnel that’s dangerous. Micrometeorites are already common and not a major issue. That means there is a finite maximum number of dangerous particles a satellite can break into and those particles are limited by the energy before impact. So, Kessler syndrome is something we can model to say where it is and isn’t a problem.