3 ms·
According to Napier using his experience in Asia, governments will shrink the economy, making government debt the most attractive investment (especially for pen
by dzink 4y ago
According to Napier using his experience in Asia, governments will shrink the economy, making government debt the most attractive investment (especially for pension funds that need short term growth and stability) and then use that power to release government-backed credit to politically-favorable industries like energy, climate-change, construction etc. Effectively nationalizing the economy, pushing aside the central bank, and slowly eating up the savings of those who saved with inflation, while supporting companies who take on debt to build local (capital expenditures).
That will keep going until people overthrow said government (most likely with another with a collection of favorite industries to subsidize), but that won't happen for a while because most people will enjoy the growth in local making at first. The failure points come because the government doesn't know what is actually needed and starts spending on stuff that is not needed (creating bubbles in construction like China with cities that stay empty) or starts a war (defense is an industry too, plus hard to overthrow a war-time government).
Europe has started down this path already, while the US and Switzerland still stand as free market economies drawing in all the fleeting investment cash, until they bubble too much and lose their currency.
- WastingMyTime89 4y agoYour first paragraph pretty much describes what happened in France between 1946 and the beginning of the 50s (the war shrunk the economy but the rest). Why do you think the government would be overthrown? It’s merely redistribution. It will just last for a couple election cycles.
- another2another 4y ago"and slowly eating up the savings of those who saved with inflation" Do people really sit on cash as it's being devalued by inflation anymore? I thought savings of all types were at historical lows since the 90's where nobody saves, has debt (e.g. mortgage & credit cards), or invests in the stock market in some form - which has become incredibly easy to do over the last 2 decades.