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Nah, not that. New supply is necessary to maintain price stability in a growing economy. If you stop adding supply you get a deflationary spiral. Similarly the
by arcticbull 4y ago
Nah, not that. New supply is necessary to maintain price stability in a growing economy. If you stop adding supply you get a deflationary spiral. Similarly the ability to contract supply is necessary to maintain stability in a contracting economy. Honestly even Austrians generally agree with that statement. Their theory is inflation is a result of increasing supply in excess of productivity and that it shouldn't under any circumstances be measured. Which is stilly and rejected in favor of actually measuring price change, but I digress.
The theory you're espousing there, the 'cantillon effect' has to my knowledge never once been quantified. Nobody seems to have any idea to what extent it actually exists, and if it exists, what the magnitude of its impact is. If you have a peer-reviewed study I'd love to see it but I sure haven't found one.
- WalterBright 4y agoThe "new supply" happens naturally as banks create money in exchange for collateral. [1] Inflation happens when banks create money with no collateral, which is our fiat money system. [1] Contracting supply happens when the loans are paid off.
- arcticbull 4y agoThat’s not actually when inflation happens. Every dollar in the fiat system is fully collateralized by the obligation to repay the debt that created it and the social infrastructure (courts, etc) which enforces that. The first part is correct but only part of the story. Demand for loans and repayment is controlled by interest rate which is how central banks control the supply and hence inflation.