4 ms·
This frightens me because it sounds like the setup for a preference cascade, where everybody realizes that they aren't alone, that everybody else thinks as they
by MichaelCollins 4y ago
This frightens me because it sounds like the setup for a preference cascade, where everybody realizes that they aren't alone, that everybody else thinks as they do. Suddenly the familiar order inverts almost overnight.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Preference_falsification#Generating_surprise https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Preference_falsification#Gener...
- int_19h 4y agoTo some extent, you see the real preferences when it comes to single-issue referendums (since the vote is secret, and there are no secondary "tactical voting" considerations there that might skew the preference). Some examples: https://ballotpedia.org/Washington_Referendum_88,_Vote_on_I-1000_Affirmative_Action_Measure_(2019) https://ballotpedia.org/Washington_Referendum_88,_Vote_on_I-... https://ballotpedia.org/California_Proposition_16,_Repeal_Proposition_209_Affirmative_Action_Amendment_(2020) https://ballotpedia.org/California_Proposition_16,_Repeal_Pr...
- MichaelCollins 4y agoThis is a valuable upside to referendums I hadn't considered before, thank you.