3 ms·
Here's the price/watt of solar panels over the last 45 years: https://avc.com/2015/07/the-bull-case-for-solar/ https://avc.com/2015/07/the-bull-case-for-solar/
by nostrademons 4y ago
Here's the price/watt of solar panels over the last 45 years:
https://avc.com/2015/07/the-bull-case-for-solar/ https://avc.com/2015/07/the-bull-case-for-solar/
It's very much following the same exponential decay cost as microchips, probably because solar panels are also semiconductors. We put in solar a couple years ago; our neighbors put it in about 10 years ago; our array covers half the roof area that theirs does (and only about 20% of our roof, despite living in close to a worst-case lot for solar). Payback period was about 9 years when we put it in, but with recent rises in energy costs we're looking at a 4-5 year payback period.
I expect a lot of pain this decade with switchover costs - it takes a big capital investment to switch all our energy infrastructure over from fossil fuels to electric, and there are still some unsolved problems like producing batteries (or other energy storage) at scale. But in terms of both physics & economics, renewables do have the potential to solve our energy problems.
- rapjr9 4y agoIs that wholesale price for solar panels? I don't know of anywhere I can buy a 100W panel for $36. Cheapest I've seen is just under $100 and they have been in that range for years.
- baxtr 4y agoFor the same amount of power? I am asking because computers for example also keep the same price point but their specs increase continuously.
- nostrademons 4y agoI assume it's wholesale and it's per cell, not the finished panels. Alibaba has a bunch of wholesale bulk solar cells at about $0.19/cell, indicating continued price declines (roughly consistent with the existing cost curve): https://www.alibaba.com/product-detail/New-technology-700-watt-monocrystalline-solar_1600357491314.html https://www.alibaba.com/product-detail/New-technology-700-wa...