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If one assumes even a .1% improvement in "Machine Intelligence" per unit time then it is literally only a matter of time until you reach Human level and then pa
by causi 4y ago
If one assumes even a .1% improvement in "Machine Intelligence" per unit time then it is literally only a matter of time until you reach Human level and then pass it.
That's like saying "even if there's only a 0.1% improvement in materials strength per unit time eventually we'll have structures strong enough to bounce off an incoming rogue planet." There is an upper bound to computational performance per unit mass and unit energy. We're nowhere near it but it is there, lurking.
- adamsmith143 4y agoThe problem is assuming the upper bound is close or at human level for intelligence. There's no reason to think that and clearly outlier humans like John von Neumann that are still in the Human range are far more capable than the average person. If you only could make machines as intelligent as that it would still be revolutionary.