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The Metaverse may very well be the future, but Meta has just gone far too aggressively in pursuit, far too early. There were tons of web startups with potentia
by adam_arthur 4y ago
The Metaverse may very well be the future, but Meta has just gone far too aggressively in pursuit, far too early.
There were tons of web startups with potentially viable business models in the 90s too, but they weren't actually possible to run profitably until much later. When the web was faster, when storage was cheaper, when logistics could be outsourced etc
There's a clear hardware limitation in regards to pixel density, compute etc, that is going to leave VR as a niche for a long time. Semi-manufacturing process/compute performance is not a limitation that is going to be overcome anytime soon, regardless of how much Meta spends.
No investor wants to wait for 200B and 20yrs to possibly achieve something in the metaverse.
- kjkjadksj 4y agoWhat is crazy is that you will spend so much more compute resources just to do the same exact stuff you were doing in 1995. Some developer on here once commented that they used their vr headset to run an editor. I wonder how much more power it takes to render vim in VR…
- adam_arthur 4y agoI think it’s a natural trend. We move to higher and higher level abstractions over time, which makes development easier but has a performance cost. The trade off is worth it for the most part. Of course if CPUs stop improving exponentially, the tradeoff calculus changes. Also the need to care about battery life has somewhat shifted thinking back towards efficiency
- kjkjadksj 4y agoHow can it be worth it? Does 2020 microsoft word do anything different than the one we used in 1995? Not really. Just now you need hardware thats 100x more powerful to output a .doc file. Thats waste, not a gain.