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I’ll never understand anyone that has this much faith in technology. Too many blue screens in my formative years. Not do I understand anyone trusting their Te

• steve_adams_86 4y ago
  > Too many blue screens in my formative years. Those blue screens occurred in dramatically less complex and better understood software, too. I'm not saying we don't understand how FSD works, or the underlying technology. It's not a complete black box. I believe there was even a proof recently showing that these things are essentially massive decision trees and they can be deterministically unravelled. But this is otherwise totally negligent from where I'm standing.
  • pnt12 4y ago
    A neural network doesn't panic, so there is no blue screen, only bad decisions. I think that's even worse, as that would be a strong signal to take over driving. This might be mitigated if the result includes a confidence percentage, ie panic if confidence below threshold, but even then I'm not sure how reliable this metric is.
    • steve_adams_86 4y ago
      Absolutely. I worry that the decision tree is so complex that when we do traverse it to understand errors, we could easily draw the wrong conclusions anyway. When we need to audit something that is more complex than we can really comprehend, can we come to reliably accurate conclusions? If we need tools to do this for us, can we be certain they’re accurate as well? All of it feels very Icarus-like. I’d be content if we tested this stuff out in isolation for another 20 years before throwing it on public streets.