>Actual free will, at the top level, would look like rolling the dice every time. Your definition of free will is fairly extreme and doesn't really line up wit

>Actual free will, at the top level, would look like rolling the dice every time. Your definition of free will is fairly extreme and doesn't really line up with what is typically meant by free will. The discussion of free will typically involves moral agency (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Free_will https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Free_will). A strawman version of your view is that every time you see a bus, it should be 50-50 whether or not you jump in front of it. And, people don't jump in front of buses at that rate, so you conclude that free will is an illusion. I would flip the baseline assumption around. Occasionally, some people do jump in front of a bus, so everyone (in a place with buses) that doesn't jump has made a choice not to because they could have done otherwise. Personally, I don't think humans meaningfully exercise free will often because: 1. most of our available "choices" have either an obvious answer (do I eat?) or are largely irrelevant (Italian or Indian dish?). 2. most of us are content to operate on autopilot (as explored in the Adam Sandler movie "Click"). However, I do think the occasional real choices we make can have outsized impacts on the trajectory of our life because that choice becomes your new normal (e.g., kleptomania, drug addiction, waking up early, going for a jog).