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I think the basic problem with the claims that good missile defence would be destabilising is advent of rogue countries that have access to long range ballistic
by twawaaay 4y ago
I think the basic problem with the claims that good missile defence would be destabilising is advent of rogue countries that have access to long range ballistic missiles and to nuclear weapons.
I simply can't understand how anybody could defend that it is actually good thing for North Korea to be able to send a rocket to Seoul, Tokyo or Los Angeles.
If you keep defending game theory and mutually assured destruction, the real solution would not be to freeze the technological race but keep that race up, keep everybody unsure about progress of everybody else and keep only the largest powers actually on top of the race and the smaller ones being unable to pose harm.
Because if you freeze capabilities you give smaller nations time to catch up. This creates situation with lots of players with parity (in this case ability to seriously harm everybody else). When the number of real contestants is low, the whole problem becomes a bit less complex and easier to prevent a real disaster.
The proper behaviour (if we go with MAD) right now would be to keep developing missile defense systems. Because this would force others to develop new, more advanced, more costly missile systems. Which would cut off small players like North Korea or Pakistan from posing much threat.
- mwint 4y agoIs the real answer here some form of radical transparency? I’ve seen some decent arguments that spies prevented the Cold War from becoming hot, because both sides thought they had good info on whether the other side was going to strike.
- TMWNN 4y ago>I’ve seen some decent arguments that spies prevented the Cold War from becoming hot, because both sides thought they had good info on whether the other side was going to strike. From Dr. Strangelove: STRANGELOVE >Yes, but the... whole point of the doomsday machine... is lost... if you keep it a secret! Why didn't you tell the world, eh? DESADESKI >It was to be announced at the Party Congress on Monday. As you know, the Premier loves surprises.
- NoGravitas 4y ago> I simply can't understand how anybody could defend that it is actually good thing for North Korea to be able to send a rocket to Seoul, Tokyo or Los Angeles. It's clearly a good thing for North Korea; look what the US does to countries that don't have nuclear missiles.
- jhbadger 4y agoWell, a good thing for the rulers of North Korea, at any rate.