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You think Joe Biden would order a covert operation like this? Or that the CIA is so off the leash that they'd do something like this without cover? I look aro
by hackeraccount 4y ago
You think Joe Biden would order a covert operation like this? Or that the CIA is so off the leash that they'd do something like this without cover?
I look around at the plausible suspects - Ukraine, Germany, France, U.K., Poland, Russia and one of the Baltics - and then I think about who's capable of doing this without a huge chance of rock solid proof of their guilt coming to light.
That gets me to either Poland or Russia. Poland has motive (keep Europe split from Russia), presumably ability and if it did come to light that they did it it would be really bad but not existential (I think Ukraine is out because undeniable proof of their guilt might cause real headaches for them)
Russia is odder because of motive. I can see two. One is financial - my understanding is that having a "third" party cut off the gas rather then they themselves doing it will allow them to walk away from contracts on futures. The second motive is that this is another "Cortez burning his ships" type move - something that makes rapprochement with the West harder and so gives anyone wanting that a tougher job.
- AnimalMuppet 4y ago> Poland has... presumably ability Don't presume. Does Poland have the ability?