3 ms·
I was trying to highlight likely failure mechanisms that could occur if the order were given. I strongly believe that only a small percentage of their nukes wou
by mikewarot 4y ago
I was trying to highlight likely failure mechanisms that could occur if the order were given. I strongly believe that only a small percentage of their nukes would work (2-10%)[1], so a solo launch is less than likely to work. However if things to escalate, that's still 120-600 detonations if they were to the 6,000 weapons in their stockpile.[2]
In which case, you wouldn't be able to collect if I was wrong
[1] Guestimate -- based on no provable facts or sources
[2] https://thebulletin.org/premium/2022-02/nuclear-notebook-how-many-nuclear-weapons-does-russia-have-in-2022 https://thebulletin.org/premium/2022-02/nuclear-notebook-how...