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This is polling data. You have to read the question. In this CNBC poll[1], the question was "which party do you want to control Congress?" and the Republicans c

This is polling data. You have to read the question. In this CNBC poll[1], the question was "which party do you want to control Congress?" and the Republicans came out ahead. In this[2] Harvard poll, the question was "would you be more likely to vote for a Republican or a Democrat in the midterm" and it was a 50/50 tie. Generally, I think OP's conclusion is correct. There is a tendency in this bubble to assume that the GOP is dead and unsupported, but that is not the case. [1] https://www.cnbc.com/2022/10/20/gop-holds-big-leads-on-key-economic-issues-ahead-of-the-november-elections-cnbc-survey-shows.html https://www.cnbc.com/2022/10/20/gop-holds-big-leads-on-key-e... [2] https://harvardharrispoll.com/key-results-october-3/ https://harvardharrispoll.com/key-results-october-3/

deleted 4y ago
[deleted]
Retric 4y ago
I agree the GOP has quite a bit of support, even when they lose an election they still get close. However, it’s important to understand what is actual support vs designing your platform for the system vs tweaking the system. The 2016 presidential election was R 62,984,828 to D 65,853,514 in votes with 55.7% turnout of registered voters. But in that exact same election the house votes went 63,182,073 R vs 61,765,832 D. In other words the R house got +200 thousand votes and D lost over 4 million votes in the house. That kind of advantage is common in recent elections. They lost in 2020 at R 72,760,036 vs D 77,529,619 in the house, but was still much better for them than the presidential election at R 74,216,154 vs D 81,268,92.