Accurately estimating work is possible and I have done it plenty of times. Precisely estimating work is nearly impossible. I'm of the opinion that everyone who

Accurately estimating work is possible and I have done it plenty of times. Precisely estimating work is nearly impossible. I'm of the opinion that everyone who has given up on estimates has some combination of not enough practice and inefficient communication of their estimates. If I ask an average web developer if they can create a basic landing page in 3 months, they will always say 100% yes. Now shrink it to 1 month: 100%. 3 weeks: 90%. 1 week: 50%. Now as the person paying for the work, you can make a choice. Do you plan to start advertising on the odds of a coin flip or do you wait until one of the 100% points?